Recent incendiary comments from Donald Trump and North Korea have spooked investors, but stocks haven’t fallen too severely. That’s somewhat unusual when looking at market reactions to geopolitical events since WWII. As always, it’s worth reiterating that stocks generally go up, even after geopolitical shocks. Geopolitical anxiety has picked up in recent days amid ongoing elevated tensions between the United States and North Korea. But even though incendiary comments from both US President Donald Trump and North Korea have spooked investors (and everybody else), markets haven’t seen a huge drop. South Korea’s markets have seen most of the action, with the won trickling down and the benchmark Kospi stock index falling by a “minor” 1.5% this week. Meanwhile, traditionally safe-haven trades like the US dollar, the yen, and gold have picked up a bit, but not significantly. That relative lack of movement is unusual compared to past market reactions to geopolitical events after World War II, according to John Normand, the Head of FX, Commodities, and International Rates Research at JP Morgan. Normand looked for patterns among major geopolitical events since World War II (starting with the Korean War and ending with Brexit) and outlined a few conclusions in a… Read full this story
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