Examining county-level voting patterns, I find that black-led protests in which some violence occurs are associated with a statistically significant decline in Democratic vote-share in the 1964, 1968 and 1972 presidential elections. Black-led nonviolent protests, by contrast, exhibit a statistically significant positive relationship with county-level Democratic vote-share in the same period. Further, I find that in the 1968 presidential election exposure to violent protests caused a decline in Democratic vote-share. Examining counterfactual scenarios in the 1968 election, I estimate that fewer violent protests are associated with a substantially increased likelihood that the Democratic presidential nominee, Hubert Humphrey, would have beaten the Republican nominee, Richard Nixon. As African Americans were strongly identified with the Democratic party in this time period, my results suggest that, in at least some contexts, political violence by a subordinate group may contribute to a … [Read more...] about New Study Shows Riots Make America Conservative
Conservative national party
Shadow education secretary Lucy Powell said ministers were out of touch with the country. “What’s becoming very clear is that the government is no longer concerned with school improvement, but with an ideological reorganisation of schools. That is a dangerous position to find themselves in.” … [Read more...] about Tory plan on academies faces cross-party opposition
On key foreign policy issues, where many mainstream Republicans in Congress are uneasy with Trump's desire to pull U.S. troops out of Syria and Afghanistan, his political advisers say all the president has done is ask common sense questions: What are we doing in Syria if ISIS is gone? Why, after 18 years, are we still in Afghanistan? And shouldn't our NATO allies pay at least a little more toward their defense? Is that really so outrageous to ask? "The fact that the foreign policy establishment, both Democrats and Republicans, gets so upset when Trump talks about this stuff is simply a reflection of how ossified they are," says a Trump adviser. … [Read more...] about How Robert Mueller Crushed the Republican Party’s ‘Dump Trump’ Crowd
➔ Immigration & DACA: Democrats and Latino-focused outside groups are preparing a political onslaught for the fall against vulnerable Republican senators over the fate of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program. The Supreme Court is poised to rule soon on whether Trump’s termination of DACA was lawful. If the justices rule with the president, the court’s decision would permit the administration to strip protections for hundreds of thousands of undocumented immigrants currently shielded by the Obama-era program. The decision could ultimately impact a number of Senate seats Democrats are working to flip in states such as Colorado and Arizona, as The Hill’s Julia Manchester and Max Greenwood will report later this morning. … [Read more...] about The Hill’s Morning Report – Presented by Facebook – George Floyd’s death sparks protests, National Guard activation
That same ideology has come through in a series of speeches and remarks Obama has made criticizing the increasing tendency on the left to demonize and shut down opposing points of view. Over the last year, Obama has driven home this theme again and again and again and again. If Obama were hewing to the center merely for fear of alienating the center, it might explain his hesitation to blurt out a provocative comment that might inflame conservatives and blow up into a national controversy. But it would not explain why he has gone out of his way so many times to pick fights with elements of his own base — especially in the last quarter of his presidency, much of which has come when he been trying to tamp down a revolt from the left by Bernie Sanders. The far more likely explanation for what Obama says is that he believes it. … [Read more...] about Does President Obama Believe What He Says About Race?
"Republicans consistently oppose policies like paid leave, equal pay, higher minimum wage and access to affordable health care -- issues that are critically important to creating opportunity for women and families," Legacki said in a statement to Fox News. "Every cycle, Republicans say they want to close the gender gap and elect more women but never actually do anything to address the substance of these problems. Until Republicans fundamentally change their approach to women, it's all just lipstick on a pig." … [Read more...] about Conservative groups push diverse slate of GOP House candidates in effort to take back lost ground